Skip to main content

Bring it on

I hope Buchholz had a good night sleep last night. He's likely to get the call early on today given the way Dice-K has "pitched" lately. Tavarez would also be an option, but he pitched 3 innings on Wednesday and Tito would have a tough time not pulling the trigger on bringing in the star of the hour on the biggest stage. He has at least sipped the kool aid with the rest of us. Maybe we can get some more dominate, "structured" innings from Clay.

As Gordon Edes points out this morning, the Sox have played .600 ball since the break (53-34) but have still dropped from a 9 1/2 game lead to 5 1/2. The Yankees have simply been that good in the second half. The Sox have some serious long-term worries in the health- and/or fatigue-caused struggles of Dice-K and Wake. They have more short term worries as well, like how many games this weekend will Manny play and how is he swinging. Yet, they remain in a strong position. The Yankees hold a "comfortable" lead in the wild card at 3 1/2 games while our 5 1/2 is tenuous? This is reasonable only in that we're chased by the Yankees while the Yankees are chased by a reeling Tigers squad. The Sox should win at least 2 games this weekend and thus have a 6 1/2 game lead going into the final weeks.

There are serious concerns about whether the Sox are good enough to win it all. Yet, barring a complete collapse, they remain in a great position to take the division.
Friday - 7:05pm, Dice-K vs. Pettite
Saturday - 3:55pm, Beckett vs. Wang
Sunday - 8:05pm, Schill vs. the Rocket (same time as the Pats' game!)

Comments

Smitch said…
First, just as a matter of clarification, the sox are 36-24 since, but the percentages are basically the same, which is surprising, since it seems like we've been treading water at points. 9-3 in September has been pretty big.

I was thinking about it this morning, and there are 31 team games left in this race (15 for us and 16 for the yanks), 11 of which need to go our way (either a sox win or a yanks loss). That's pretty good. Of course, 3 of those are head-to-head, which makes this weekend esp. big. And I'm not sure whether you put much stock in these sorts of things, but Baseball Prospectus has a postseason odds calculator that runs a simulation of the rest of the season a million times, and that puts the sox at 97% for winning the division.

I like them odds.

Popular posts from this blog

Opening Day & Possible Unlikely 2018 Contributors & Breakthroughs

It's opening day and the Sox are playing the Rays.  While the beauty of baseball is that any team can beat any other team on any given day, the Sox should - and need to - dominate the Rays this season.  The Rays are going to try a 4 man rotation (a very good idea btw with the way the game is trending) - but then they lost one of those four.  Rumor is that they are close to signing Charlie Hough.  Their best player is Kevin Kiermaier whose very solid, but essentially their best player is Jackie Bradley, Jr.  Even if Wilson Ramos returns to All Star form and C.J. Cron finally becomes decent, this will be a pretty bad team.  They'll get a jolt when star SS prospect Willy Adames arrives but otherwise the Sox need to feast on the Rays this year if they hope to win the division.

The Sox opening day lineup meanwhile has a couple of sorta-surprises from where we started spring.  Hanley is starting at 1B over Mitch Moreland despite a righty starter, and Christian Vazquez is catching Chr…

JD Martinez and Red Sox Depth

The Sox have signed JD Martinez; so, that's good.  His track record, personal reports on work ethic and attitude (aka lessons learns from Panda mania), and the fact that he's seen most of his success in the American League point to this being as sure a success as you can have in free agency.  He is getting a hefty pay check while the Sox aren't locked down for 6, 7 or Hosmer years.

Taking as a given that Martinez will be an outstanding hitter in the middle of the lineup, this signing - along with the signing of Eduardo Nunez earlier in the weekend - gives this Red Sox offense the most depth they have had since the 2013 champions.  That team taught us that it makes good baseball sense to go a few players deep at each position if you can, and to not obsess with how you'll find at bats for everyone.  Here we go again with that approach.

The 2018 Red Sox are remarkably deep and flexible.  When someone gets hurt, the likelihood is that that player will be replaced in the l…

The 2018 Red Sox Biggest Liability: Infield Defense

This Red Sox team is stacked.  At the moment, the biggest concerns seems to be the Mookie Betts hasn't been hitting and the fifth starter is likely going to be the perfectly capable Brian Johnson or Hector Vazquez for the first month or so.  But this team does have one real problem with it - and another possible one I'll write about later.  The infield defense has the potential to be pretty bad.  Given that I'm usually the one seeing hope in dark Sox times, I figured I'd try to dampen everyone's spirits now that we're cloaked in the warm glow of J.D. Martinez in a Red Sox uniform.

Based on what new manager Alex Cora has said so far, the Red Sox most likely Opening Day infield will be Hanley Ramirez at first, Eduardo Nunez at second, Bogaerts at short, and Devers at third.  That's a group that has the potential to really hit, but they also all have big defensive question marks.  It's not great when Bogaerts is your best defensive infield starter.  For the…