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Moving from Lowell

Looks like the Sox are on the verge of trading Mike Lowell to the Rangers for 25-year old slugging (??) unpositioned Max Ramirez and millions of dollars.

I'll try to get back to you about the value of Max Ramirez (3rd catcher who can maybe blossem as a hitter?). But it seems like the speculation is that this means the Sox will try to sign Adrian Beltre, late of Seattle.

It's a bad move to sign Beltre to a 4-5 year deal for big money. He's a great defensive third baseman who has had some big offensive years. I also understand why they think he'd hit significantly better with Fenway as his home rather than massive Safeco.

That said, he'll be 31 this season which means he'd be close to... Lowell's age when the contract is up. He's a bad on-base guy which also plays against the Sox overall game plan. He's a good player, but I don't see how he fits with the Sox right now.

The bottom line to me is that Lowell should be more healthy next season than he was this season, a season in which he was slow in the field and basepaths, but hit rather well. I expect him to hit better next year. Then, his contract ends and the Sox could reevaluate.

So if this plays out, the Sox gain Adrian Beltre and Max Ramirez and lose Mike Lowell and about $10 million (Beltre's probable salary and the lack of losing Lowell's salary since the Sox will have to pay it to dump him). I think the Sox have minimal net gain yet risk being sattled with a mediocre Beltre at a large price tag.

Then again, if the Sox stay pat at third they are much worse defensively and they don't have minor league depth at third.

I would not trade Lowell if it's intended to make room for Beltre. But for an Andrian Gonzalez or Miguel Cabrera, I'm all for it.


Anonymous said…
Oh man emotionally I disagree but the MLB is big business and has to make decions based on projected revenue. So I am sad to see Mike L go as a big personality of the Sox nation but if his trade will enable better players to move into the line up. We'll always be glad for his service as a team mate and team leader.

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